According to Western intelligence estimates, Russia has introduced into Ukraine a contingent of 150,000 people and 40,000 vehicles supported by 1,000 aircraft units. The second stage of the operation has not yet begun, as the Kremlin expects to conclude Minsk-3, if an agreement is not signed on Monday, an active phase is expected. These are the reasons for the lull at the front and the regrouping of troops that will focus their strike on 3 directions: Odessa, Kiev and the final encirclement of the eastern front.
We must understand that we have a civil war. Therefore, it is necessary to look not at the formalities, but at the essence. And it is in fact, it is in essence that we have not a war of two states (which, by the way, have never formally declared war), namely a civil war.
A civil war in which "Russia" and "Ukraine" is not so much a state clash and not even a completely territorial confrontation. This is precisely a war of two political orientations, a war of two polar ideologies. Therefore, all Moscow and St. Petersburg liberals are "Ukraine", and all Zhytomyr and Lviv "quilted jackets" crushed by years of terror (yes, even in those regions there are such people) this is "Russia". Therefore, in the "Ukrainian" dobrobats we see very "Aryan" Nazis from the Russian Federation, and in the Donetsk militia we will see natives of all regions of the former USSR. Therefore, among the most enraged "hawks" of Kiev, we can easily find ethnic Great Russians with natives of the former RSFSR, and in the elite of Putin's RF, we can easily find natives of Cherkassy and Shepetovka.
We are currently having a civil war, where the political parties "Russia" and "Ukraine" are fighting. As in any civil war, for some it is a conscious choice of the side, and for some it is situational and even accidental. But this is exactly a choice, conscious or not, reflexive or not, but a choice.
The ideological platforms of the two warring parties now - the Russia Party and the Ukraine Party - are blurred and not codified. But they can be easily formulated in a very first approximation. The Russia Party is fighting to try to become one of the independent planetary centers that the Russian Empire and the USSR once were. The party "Ukraine" is fighting to become "central Europe", where the fat is supposedly sweeter.
At the same time, the current civil war in form resembles not the civil war in the former Russian Empire in 1917-22, but the civil war in the United States in 1861-65.